Public evidence · complete recordNumbers without
Numbers without
an asterisk.
Every public selection belongs here—captured before kickoff, settled under one policy and retained whether it wins, loses, voids or is withdrawn.
Daily model cohortProbability and price.
Probability and price.
Measured separately.
The policy requires both an estimated win probability of at least 55% and positive expected value. Hit rate and calibration never hide behind ROI.
Total picks10 settled · 1 pending
Avg. estimated win probability55.82%locked before kickoff
Actual hit ratePending0W · 0L
ROIPendingPending · daily cohort only
Daily model history
Research cohortDaily pick ledger
DateSelectionPriceResultP&LProof
2026-08-31Lecce vs RomaUnder 2.5 goals · 55.8%1.80pending—
4d35c7a6…Evidence maturity
Credibility is earned one settlement at a time.
ROI is not treated as proven during a tiny sample. The public cohort target is 500 settled observations, with calibration and same-book closing-price coverage reviewed separately.
0 · Collection starts100 · Early signal500 · Review cohort
Append-only selection history
Claims lockedThe public ledger
DateSelectionPriceResultP&LProof
#
No public selection has been published yet.
This is a real empty ledger, not a demo. Shadow candidates and editorial views are excluded from public performance.
One policy.
Every outcome.
Captured price
The reference price and timestamp are stored at publication, before the result is known.
All results retained
Wins, losses, voids, withdrawals and corrections remain in their proper lifecycle.
Derived performance
P&L, ROI, CLV and drawdown are computed from ledger rows—not typed into marketing cards.
Private validation
Explore private beta Inspect the product while evidence builds.
No paid picks and no performance claims. See exactly how abstention, prices and proof work today.
Historical performance never guarantees a future result. FORM/PRICE explains uncertainty; it does not remove it.