Price at publication
Evaluation uses the recorded reference price—not a favourable price selected after the result.
Public evidence · complete historyEvery result.
Evidence protocolRead methodology →Every result.
Nothing hidden.
A future subscriber should never need to trust a screenshot. Every published selection will retain its captured price, result, profit or loss and proof reference.
Settled public picks0no deleted losses
Net profitPendingsettlement-derived
Verified ROIPendingpublic picks only
Closing line valuePendingcoverage pending
Max drawdownPendingpeak-to-trough units
Calibration evidence
1 / 500 target-horizon observations
This broad probability cohort validates calibration. Premium economics remain a separate gate requiring at least 150 candidate selections and valid closing prices.
0 · Start100 · Early signal500 · Review cohort
Separate daily model cohort
Win probability is not edge.
Every daily pick must clear both a 55% estimated win-probability floor and positive expected value. We report hit rate, calibration and ROI separately.
Total picks11 settled · 0 pending
Avg. win probability55.82%estimated before kickoff
Actual hit rate0.00%0W · 1L
Daily ROI-100.00%-1.00u
Append-only public record
Profit claims lockedSelection ledger
DateSelectionCaptured priceResultP&LProof
No public selection has been published yet.
The ledger is intentionally empty. Shadow observations and editorial model views never enter verified performance.
Every outcome retained
Wins, losses, voids and corrections remain visible under the same settlement policy.
One performance cohort
ROI, CLV and drawdown use public selections only. Research and editorial views stay outside.