Daily model pick · lower confidence
Daily · 31 Aug
IT
Serie A · 16:30 UTC
Lecce vs Roma
56%model probability
Model decision
Under 2.5 goals
A probability-qualified positive-value selection on today's enabled card under the fixed Daily Model Pick policy. This lower-confidence cohort is tracked separately from verified edges.
Fair odds1.79Reference1.80Expected value+0.5%
Price passport67/100
- Reference price
- 1.80
- Minimum accepted
- 1.80
- Market implied
- 52.6%
- Price captured
- 09:32 UTC
Estimated win probability55.8%
Fresh two-sided sources1
Model vs market+3.2 pp
Expected value+0.5%